Economists over at UNLV, estimate that 50,000 jobs were created
in Las Vegas last year. And more jobs are on the way as the LV Strip’s latest building boom begins to bear fruit starting this December with the opening of LV Sands’ $1.8 billion, 3,025-room Palazzo. By 2012, 45,000 more hotel rooms will be constructed on the Strip. With the demographic winds at their backs, casino operators aren’t worried about filling the rooms with tourists, but finding employees will be a challenge. According to a report authored by Deutsche Bank Securities,the casino industry will need 113,500 more workers to fill the spots created by the new resorts that are now under construction. Unless the city’s population growth begins to accelerate, 25,000 of these jobs will go unfilled according to the investment bank report. By the time MGM Grand’s massive $7.4 billion CityCenter project comes on line in late 2009, competition for employees could be keen, and the gaming giant will have 12,000 spots to fill at the multi-use project. A year later,
Boyd Gaming’s Echelon Place will come on line and they will be looking for over 10,000 workers. Despite a red-hot economy and prospects for more of the same, to read the financial press and listen to Wall Street pundits the Las Vegas housing market couldn’t be colder. But is it? In many ways the Las Vegas housing market is just simply returning to normal after the irrational exuberance of
2005 when just short of 39,000 new homes and condos were sold and 58,522 resale homes changed hands.
Back not so long ago in 2000, with the Venetian not a year old and Steve Wynn buying the Desert Inn property with only an idea in his head, new home sales in Las Vegas were 20,520 and resales totaled 29,515. Through June of this year, 10,395 new homes and 14,556 resale homes have been sold. If this pace continues, just short of 50,000 homes will change hands in 2007, an almost identical amount of sales to the number in year 2000, a year that was considered at the time a strong housing year.
The Las Vegas Strip it’s as hot as the weather. The New Frontier closed its doors forever at midnight on July 15th. El Ad Properties paid Phil Ruffin $33 million per acre or a total of $1.2 billion for the aging property he bought in 1998 for $167 million. The Israeli company intends to spend $5 billion constructing a replica of New York’s famed Plaza Hotel on the property. Condo sales are so brisk at MGM Grand’s CityCenter the company has assembled
78 acres on the north Strip to do another massive mixed-use project. “Just two years ago we would never have conceived of buying more land on the Strip,” company CFO and president Jim Murren told the Las Vegas Sun. But after selling more than a billion dollars worth of condos at CityCenter in just a few months, Murren says, “We can do this all over again.” The Nevada gaming market is rocking, setting a record in May by winning $1.14 billion from gamblers. The majority of that win came from the Las Vegas Strip that has consolidated even more than the homebuilding market.
MGM Grand and Harrah’s together control three quarters of the hotel rooms on the Strip, and MGM holds an incredible 865 acres on the Strip, with 250 of the acres being undeveloped. But unlike the large homebuilders that wish they had a few less acres, Mr. Murren says, “Anyone who has ever sold land (on the Strip) has lived to regret it.” Strip land “goes up slowly or rapidly, but it doesn’t ever go down.” According to Bottfeld, “what happens on the Strip gets mirrored in the housing market.” He predicts the Las Vegas housing slump that began in April of last year will begin to recover when the Palazzo opens later this year and will be fully healed by August of next year. And to the naysayers on Wall Street and beyond, who say the Las Vegas housing market slump will persist indefinitely, Bottfeld contends another Las Vegas boom is right around the corner in 2009. The old saw repeated often by Las Vegas old timers is that if there are high-rise cranes on the Strip, it’s a good time to buy real estate. Dozens of them continue to dot the skyline. Number crunchers stress that each new hotel room creates 2.5 jobs, and that each new hotel/casino job creates another 1.5 jobs off the Strip. The people who will ultimately fill those
jobs don’t live in Las Vegas yet. When they pull into town in their rental trucks they will need places to live.